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Vertex’s FDA Win: A Billion-Dollar Bet on Safer Pain Treatment

2025-02-11 23:18

Pietro Lavisci, MD

Valuation, VRTX, biotech, FDA approval, JOURNVAX, options strategy, options, long equity,

Vertex’s FDA Win: A Billion-Dollar Bet on Safer Pain Treatment

This biotech giant added to its solid drug portfolio the first major non-opioid drug approved in decades...

The article is in press on gurufocus.com . As soon as I'll have a sharable link, I'll put it here.


In the meantime here's the subtitle, the three bullet points and a TL;DR in 10 points.









This biotech giant added to its solid drug portfolio the first major non-opioid drug approved in decades.




  • The FDA greenlights suzetrigine (JOURNAVX), the first non-opioid painkiller in over 20 years.
  • A high market potential has opened for VRTX, with $ 1.5+ billion revenue to be captured and added to already growing top line.
  • Strategies like long equity exposure and long straddle options paid off post-approval.





TL;DR in 10 Points:


  1. FDA Approval – Suzetrigine (JOURNAVX) is the first non-opioid pain medication approved in decades, the first in the sodium channel inhibitors.
  2. Mechanism of Action – Blocks NaV1.8 sodium channels with high selectivity, stopping pain signals without addiction risk thanks to peripheral action. NaV1.8 sodium channels are not expressed in the central nervous system.
  3. Clinical Trials – Proven effective in abdominoplasty and bunionectomy patients, reducing pain with fewer side effects than placebo and opioid-alternative (Hydrocodone/acetaminophen - HB/APAP).
  4. Opioid Alternative – Shown similar analgesic effect to Vicodin either at low and high doses, offering a safer option.
  5. Market Potential – Considering a 20% market penetration, an estimated 7 million annual patients in the U.S. could benefit from the new molecule, leading to over $1.5 billion in potential revenue for the company.
  6. Pricing & Cost – Priced at $15.50 per pill ($31/day), it shows cost-effective compared to opioid addiction risks by an independent non-profit organization.
  7. Future Research – Trials continue for conditions like diabetic neuropathy, despite past failures for other painful conditions.
  8. Competition – Emerging rivals like Latigo Biotherapeutics could challenge suzetrigine’s dominance. Yet the solid financial position VRTX has, position them in a inviting position for possibile M&A.
  9. Valuation – Vertex Pharmaceuticals has added a good molecule in a rising healthcare space (analgesics), to its dominant position in the cystic fibrosis treatment.
  10. Investment Strategies – The investor could have capitalized on this successful story with different strategies, two are presented in the article.




Physician (MD) ・Stocks and ETFs investor ・10+ years of investing ・Keen on reading, reading and reading ・Writing  on Forbes, SeekingAlpha, GuruFocus, and Yahoo Finance

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www.peterlavi.com ©

About
info@peterlavi.com
eToro

instagram
linkedin

Physician (MD) ・Stocks and ETFs investor ・10+ years of investing ・Keen on reading, reading and reading ・Writing  on Forbes, SeekingAlpha, GuruFocus, and Yahoo Finance

eToro - Pop Inv profile

www.peterlavi.com ©